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Research & Publications

Development Analytics is deeply committed to the mission of advancing the dissemination of knowledge and insights pertaining to critical development issues. As part of this commitment, we take pride in sharing a selection of our research outputs, each offering a valuable contribution to the collective understanding of development challenges and opportunities. Our diverse range of publications encompasses policy reports tailored for our esteemed clients, academic reports generated through collaborative efforts with our partners, and thought-provoking papers authored as part of our own Development Analytics Research Paper Series.

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List of our publications

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How to Estimate Heterogeneous Learning Losses due to School Closures: An Application Using PISA data in Türkiye
Nazlı Aktakke, Meltem Aran, Emre Üçkardeşler, Pınar Kolancalı, Zehra Sena Kibar, and Hazal Çolak Öz
October / 2023
SSRN
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4592198
Inequalities in the home learning environment during the pandemic: a closer look at Syrian refugee children’s home learning environment in Türkiye prior to COVID-19
Hazal Colak Oz, Meltem Aran, Nazli Aktakke, Emre Üçkardeşler, Yali Hajhassan
September / 2023
Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/17450128.2023.2254038
Documentation of Education Response in Türkiye during the COVID-19 Pandemic and its Effect on Children's Access to and Retention in Education
Meltem Aran, Pınar Kolancalı, Nazlı Aktakke, Zehra Sena Kibar, Hazal Çolak, Yali Hajhassan
January / 2023
UNICEF Türkiye
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://www.unicef.org/turkiye/media/15951/file/Documentation%20of%20Education%20Response%20in%20T%C3%BCrkiye%20during%20the%20COVID-19%20Pandemic.pdf
School dropout prediction and feature importance exploration in Malawi using household panel data: machine learning approach
Hazal Colak Oz, Çiçek Güven, Gonzalo Nápoles
December / 2022
Journal of Computational Social Science
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s42001-022-00195-3
Evaluative Learning Study for Phase III of the Emergency Social Safety Net (ESSN) Assistance for Refugees in Türkiye
Meltem A. Aran, Nazli Aktakke, Gokce Baykal, Zehra Sena Kibar, Yali Hajhassan, Tugce Kilic
September / 2022
IFRC, Turkish Red Crescent
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://reliefweb.int/report/turkiye/evaluative-learning-study-phase-iii-emergency-social-safety-net-essn-assistance-refugees-turkiye
Cash Transfers: Learning from the EU Programme in Turkey
Meltem A Aran, Nazli Aktakke, Hazal Colak and Gokce Baykal
March / 2022
Forced Migration Review
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://www.fmreview.org/climate-crisis/aran-aktakke-colak-baykal
Does Quality Matter in Determining Child Care Prices? Evidence from Private Child Care Provision in Turkey
Didem Pekkurnaz, Meltem A. Aran, Nazli Aktakke
September / 2021
International Journal of Child Care and Education Policy
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://ijccep.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40723-021-00088-4
How to Assess the Child Poverty and Distributional Impact of COVID-19 Using Household Budget Surveys: An Application Using Turkish Data
Meltem A. Aran, Nazli Aktakke, Zehra Sena Kibar, Emre Üçkardeşler
August / 2021
The European Journal of Development Research
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41287-021-00451-8
Strategic Mid-term Evaluation of the Facility for Refugees in Turkey. Volume I: Main Report
Lewis Sida, Julian Murray, Meltem Aran, Christopher Talbot, Elizabeth Dyke, Nur Abdelkhaliq Zamora and Francis Watkins, Gökçe Baykal, Safir Sumer, Nazli Aktakke, Hazal Colak, Yali Hajhassan
June / 2021​
European Commission
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://reliefweb.int/report/turkey/strategic-mid-term-evaluation-facility-refugees-turkey-2016-20192020
Strategic Mid-term Evaluation of the Facility for Refugees in Turkey. Volume II: Sector Report on Socio-economic Support
Francis Watkins, Meltem Aran, Gökçe Baykal, Nazli Aktakke, Lewis Sida, Tom Barton
June / 2021
European Commission
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://reliefweb.int/report/turkey/strategic-mid-term-evaluation-facility-refugees-turkey-2016-20192020
Strategic Mid-term Evaluation of the Facility for Refugees in Turkey. Volume II: Sector Report on Health
Elizabeth Dyke, Safir Sumer, Hazal Colak, Yali Hajhassan
June / 2021
European Commission
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://reliefweb.int/report/turkey/strategic-mid-term-evaluation-facility-refugees-turkey-2016-20192020
Strategic Mid-term Evaluation of the Facility for Refugees in Turkey. Volume II: Sector Report on Education
Christopher Talbot, Nazlı Aktakke, Hazal Colak, Yali Hajhassan
June / 2021
European Commission
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://reliefweb.int/report/turkey/strategic-mid-term-evaluation-facility-refugees-turkey-2016-20192020
Strategic Mid-term Evaluation of the Facility for Refugees in Turkey. Volume II: Sector Report on Protection
Julian Murray, Hazal Colak, Nazli Aktakke, Yali Hajhassan
June / 2021
European Commission
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://reliefweb.int/report/turkey/strategic-mid-term-evaluation-facility-refugees-turkey-2016-20192020
Harnessing the Power of Youth: An Analysis of Youth Not-in-Employment, Education or Training (NEET) in Turkey and Policies and Civil Society Models that Promote Active Youth Engagement
Nazli Aktakke, Hazal Colak, Zeynep Baser, Sena Buyukavci, Cagla Tabak
October / 2020
Development Analytics Research Paper Series
Skills and Employment
https://b50852f2-fdef-42e1-adf9-b42650e2a9fc.filesusr.com/ugd/b70f3f_6f620347fb334d4e84959b06161abd2a.pdf
Quantitative and Qualitative Research Methods Used in Development Projects: A Handbook for Civil Society Organizations
Aylin Topal
October / 2020
Development Analytics Research Paper Series
Skills and Employment
https://b50852f2-fdef-42e1-adf9-b42650e2a9fc.filesusr.com/ugd/b70f3f_3bb8e1e5fdd247f2b5dd32b44c664466.pdf
Estimating the Impact of COVID-19 on Child Poverty in Georgia using a Micro-Simulation Model
Meltem Aran, Nazli Aktakke, Cagla Tabak
August / 2020
UNICEF Georgia
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://www.unicef.org/georgia/media/4871/file/COVID-19%20impact%20on%20child%20poverty%20in%20Georgia.pdf
ESSN Mid-term Review Report
Nick Maunder, Karin Seyfert, Meltem Aran, Nazli Aktakke
February / 2020
WFP
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://reliefweb.int/report/turkey/essn-mid-term-review-20182019-february-2020
Can Father Training Programmes Help Reduce Gender-Based Violence: Lessons from a Parenting Intervention in Turkey
O. Gokce Baykal, Meltem A. Aran, Nazli Aktakke
July / 2019
SSRN
Gender and Women's Empowerment
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID3425952_code1164664.pdf?abstractid=3425952&mirid=1
Decentralised Evaluation of the ECHO funded Emergency Social Safety Net (ESSN) in Turkey
Nick Maunder, Team Leader; Karin Seyfert; Meltem Aran; Gökçe Baykal; Marta Marzi, Gabrielle Smith
April / 2018
WFP
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://www1.wfp.org/publications/turkey-echo-funded-emergency-social-safety-net-evaluation
Education of Disadvantaged Children in the OIC: the Key to Escape from Poverty
OIC
October / 2017
COMCEC Coordination Office
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
http://ebook.comcec.org/Kutuphane/Icerik/Yayinlar/Analitik_Calismalar/Yoksullugun_Azaltilmasi/Toplanti10/index.html
Impact Evaluation Methods in Evaluating Development Programmes and Applications from Turkey
Dr. Meltem Aran, Dr. Güneş Aşık, Dr. Gökçe Baykal, Dr. İrem Güçeri, Dr. Murat Kırdar, Dr. Beyza Polat, Nazlı Aktakke.
August / 2017
EADI
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/b70f3f_8b148f11f4f94497b74b9cff9a94b84c.pdf
Life in Transition Survey- Gender Analysis and Gender Modules
Nazli Aktakke (Development Analytics), Meltem Aran (Development Analytics), Ana Maria Munoz Boudet
August / 2017
The World Bank
Gender and Women's Empowerment
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/292661555050624619/pdf/Gender-Relations-in-Europe-and-Central-Asia-Results-from-the-Life-in-Transition-Survey-Third.pdf
Building an ex-ante simulation model for estimating the capacity impact, benefit incidence, and cost effectiveness of child care subsidies in Turkey
Meltem A. Aran, Ana Maria Munoz Boudet, Nazli Aktakke
November / 2018
The World Bank
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://ijccep.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40723-018-0052-3
Can Regulations Make It More Difficult to Serve the Poor? The Case of Childcare Services in Istanbul, Turkey
Meltem A. Aran, Ana Maria Munoz Boudet, Nazli Aktakke
November / 2016
Journal of Human Development and Capabilities
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
http://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/jZMTqaTCI2yXeQkArIve/full
Benefit Incidence of Fuel Subsidies in Madagascar and Recommendation for Child-Friendly Allocations
Meltem A. Aran, Nazlı Aktakke, Martin C. Evans
July / 2016
SSRN
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2817364
Women's Invisible Contribution: Quantifying the Economic Value of Women's Unpaid Care Activities in Turkey and Policy Options to Reduce Women's Care Burden
Meltem A. Aran, Nazlı Aktakke
June / 2016
SSRN
Gender and Women's Empowerment
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2798620
Supporting Access to and Retention in Employment for Women by Enhancing Child Care Services in Turkey
Agence Française de Développement
May / 2016
AFD
Skills and Employment
http://librairie.afd.fr/en/nt-16-child-care-turkey/
Maternal and Child Health in Turkey Through the Health Transformation Program
Meltem A. Aran, Nazlı Aktakke, İpek Gürol, Rıfat Atun
December / 2015
SSRN
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2701839
Improving Basic Services Delivery for the Poor in the OIC Member Countries
Ministry of Development of Turkey, COMCEC Coordination Office
September / 2015
COMCEC Coordination Office
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://www.sbb.gov.tr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Improving_Basic_Services_Delivery_for_the_Poor_in_the_OIC_Member_Countries.pdf
Supply and Demand for Child Care Services in Turkey: A Mixed Methods Study
The World Bank and Ministry of Family and Social Policy of Turkey
September / 2015
The World Bank
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/114451467999711217/supply-and-demand-for-child-care-services-in-turkey-a-mixed-methods-study
Socioeconomic Impact of Mining Activity: Effects of Gold Mining on Local Communities in Tanzania and Mali
Beyza Polat, Nazlı Aktakke, Meltem A. Aran, Andrew Dabalen, Punam Chuhan-Pole, Aly Sanoh
October / 2014
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2533961
Can Child Care Vouchers Get Turkish Mothers Back to Work? Estimating the Employment and Redistributionary Impact of a Demand Side Child Care Subsidy in Turkey
Meltem A. Aran, Herwig Immervoll, Cristobal Ridao-Cano
October / 2014
SSRN
Gender and Women's Empowerment
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2533946
Turkey on the Way of Universal Health Coverage Through the Health Transformation Program (2003-13)
The World Bank Group
September / 2014
The World Bank
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/21059
Final Evaluation: “Father Training for Violence-Free Families” (Turkey)
Meltem Aran, Nazli Aktakke, Gokce Baykal, Danya Chudacoff, Ulas Sunata, Cengiz Ciftci
March / 2014
UN Women
Gender and Women's Empowerment
http://www2.unwomen.org/-/media/field%20office%20untf/publications/2018/evaluation%20digital%20library/5%20turacevfecompressed.pdf?la=en&vs=5248
Early Childhood Health and Education Outcomes and Children's Exposure to Multiple Risks in Turkey
Meltem A. Aran, Cristobal Ridao-Cano
September / 2014
SSRN
Children’s Well-Being and Development
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2333443
Good Jobs in Turkey
The World Bank Group
November / 2013
The World Bank
Skills and Employment
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/22568
Women and Health: Analysis of the Economic Value of Informal Health Care by Women in Turkey
Harvard School of Public Health and the LANCET Commission on Women’s Health
September / 2013
The Lancet
Gender and Women's Empowerment
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(15)60497-4/abstract
Inequality of Opportunity in Access to Basic Services Among Egyptian Children
Meltem A. Aran, Lire Ersado
July / 2013
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2292461
A Methodology Note on the Employment and Welfare Impacts of the 2007-08 Financial Crisis
Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad, Meltem A. Aran, Mehtabul Azam, Jesko Hentschel
June / 2013
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2286698
Universal Health Coverage in Turkey: enhancement of equity
Rifat Atun, Sabahattin Aydin, Sarbani Chakraborty, Safir Sumer, Meltem Aran, Ipek Gurol, Serpil Nazlioglu, Senay Ozgulcu, Ulger Aydogan, Banu Ayar, Ugur Dilmen, Recep Akdag
June / 2013
The Lancet
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(13)61051-X/abstract
Welfare Impact of the Global Economic Crisis of 2008-2009 on Turkish Households: Evidence from a Specialized Monitoring Survey in 7 Provinces
Meltem A. Aran
February / 2013
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2281828
Agricultural Technology Diffusion in a Post-Conflict Setting: Evidence from an Experimental Study in Eastern Turkey
Meltem A. Aran
January / 2013
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2281668
Protection in Good and Bad Times? The Turkish Green Card Health Program
Meltem A. Aran, Jesko Hentschel
August / 2012
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2133813
Recent Trends in Female Labour Force Participation in Turkey
Arzu Uraz, Meltem A. Aran, Müşerref Hüsamoğlu, Dilek Okkalı Şanalmış, Sinem Capar
March / 2010
SSRN
Skills and Employment
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2283112
Poverty and Inequality Changes in Turkey (2003-2006)
Meltem A. Aran, Sırma Demir, Özlem Sarıca, Hakan Yazici
March / 2010
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2282455
Measuring Inequality of Opportunity with Imperfect Data: The Case of Turkey
Francisco H. G. Ferreira, Jeremie Gignoux , Meltem A. Aran
February / 2010
SSRN
Poverty, Social Protection, and Humanitarian Aid
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1559721
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